When Naser ad Din accedes to the Persian throne in 1848, his prime minister, Mirza Taqi Khan Amir Kabir, attempts to strengthen the administration by reforming the tax system, asserting central control over the bureaucracy and the provincial governors, encouraging trade and industry, and reducing the influence of the Islamic clergy and foreign powers.

He establishes a new school, the Dar ol Fonun, to educate members of the elite in the new sciences and in foreign languages.

The power he concentrates in his hands, however, arouses jealousy within the bureaucracy and fear in the king.

In 1851 Kabir is dismissed and then executed, a fate shared by earlier powerful prime ministers.

The Middle East: 1852–1863 CE

Ottoman Authority and Sectarian Conflicts

Between 1852 and 1863, the Ottoman Empire struggles to maintain authority amid escalating sectarian conflicts, notably in Mount Lebanon. The Double Qaimaqamate arrangement, which separates administrative authority into Christian and Druze regions, exacerbates tensions rather than easing them. European powers—Britain supporting the Druze and France backing the Maronites—further inflame rivalries, and by 1860, violence erupts into full-scale conflict, resulting in the massacre of thousands of Christians. The crisis prompts international intervention, leading to the establishment of the Mutasarrifate of Mount Lebanon in 1861, governed by a non-Lebanese Christian administrator appointed by the Ottoman sultan and overseen by European powers.

Saudi Arabia: Consolidation under Faisal

In central Arabia, Faisal ibn Turki Al Saud further consolidates Al Saud authority from Riyadh, bringing relative stability after decades of internal strife. Faisal skillfully manages relations with both Ottoman and British interests, leveraging the Al Saud dynasty’s religious authority rooted in Wahhabism. Despite his efforts, occasional revolts and Ottoman intrigue continue to challenge his rule, notably in eastern Arabia, where the Ottomans maintain intermittent attempts to reassert their influence.

Persian Decline Amidst Foreign Domination

The Qajar Dynasty in Persia, under Naser ad-Din Shah, remains vulnerable to foreign pressures from Britain and Russia. These two empires use diplomatic and economic leverage to gain concessions, significantly weakening Persian sovereignty. The Shah’s administration, despite efforts at modernization, continues to suffer from internal corruption and regional uprisings, limiting effective governance. Britain's and Russia's deepening involvement leads to increased economic dependency, leaving Persia's political autonomy severely compromised.

Oman’s Maritime Trade and British Influence

Said bin Sultan al-Busaidi continues Oman's prosperous maritime commerce, maintaining strong diplomatic and commercial relationships, particularly with Britain. His domains in East Africa, notably Zanzibar, thrive as essential trade hubs, further cementing Oman's strategic importance to British interests. Said’s policies maintain Omani autonomy while carefully navigating international tensions, ensuring continued economic prosperity and internal stability.

Stability and Rivalries in the Persian Gulf

The Al Thani consolidate their control in Qatar, significantly bolstered by Wahhabi ideological alignment, firmly establishing their independence from the Al Khalifa of Bahrain. Meanwhile, in Abu Dhabi, the Al Nahyan family enhances its power and regional influence, building alliances with British and Omani interests. This period witnesses Qatar and Abu Dhabi solidifying their distinct identities and territorial integrity, setting foundations for future regional prominence.

Russian Influence and Armenian National Awakening

Russian rule continues to consolidate in the Caucasus, with significant reforms reshaping local governance and society. Armenians, benefiting from Russian stability, experience an increase in national consciousness, driven by educational reforms and economic opportunities. Russian control, while fostering relative peace, also deepens cultural transformations, leading to the growth of secular Armenian nationalism.

Legacy of the Era

The era from 1852 to 1863 witnesses intensified sectarian and geopolitical tensions across the Middle East, prompting significant international intervention and internal restructuring. The establishment of the Mutasarrifate in Lebanon, the consolidation of Al Saud control, Persia's ongoing vulnerabilities, and the steady rise of Gulf emirates define a transformative period whose legacies influence regional dynamics well into the future.

Britain and Russia also come to dominate Iran's trade and interfere in Iran's internal affairs.

The two great powers enjoy overwhelming military and technological superiority and can take advantage of Iran's internal problems.

Iranian central authority is weak; revenues are generally inadequate to maintain the court, bureaucracy, and army; the ruling class is divided and corrupt; and the people suffer exploitation by their rulers and governors.

Russia forces the Qajars to give up all claims to territories in Central Asia in the second half of the century.

Meanwhile, Britain twice lands troops in Iran to prevent the Qajars from reasserting a claim to the city of Herat, lost after the fall of the Safavis.

Under the Treaty of Paris in 1857, Iran surrenders to Britain all claims to Herat and other territories in the present-day state of Afghanistan.

The Middle East: 1864–1875 CE

Consolidation and International Influence in Lebanon

Between 1864 and 1875, Lebanon experiences stability under the new administrative structure known as the Mutasarrifate of Mount Lebanon, established after the sectarian violence of 1860. Governed by a non-Lebanese Christian mutasarrif appointed by the Ottoman sultan with approval from European powers, Lebanon benefits from a relatively peaceful era. This governance, characterized by an administrative council representing Lebanon's diverse religious communities, provides a temporary cessation of internal strife. Many Lebanese emigrants continue to support their homeland economically through remittances from abroad, notably from Egypt, Africa, the Americas, and East Asia.

Lebanon also emerges as an intellectual hub during this period. Foreign missionaries establish educational institutions throughout the country, notably the American University of Beirut in 1866 and the French St. Joseph's University in 1875. A revitalized Arabic literary movement develops, supported by a prolific press and numerous publications.

Despite general calm, tensions simmer beneath the surface, exacerbated by ongoing European interference, particularly French backing of Christians and British interests in Druze regions, which continues to define Lebanon's political landscape.

Al Saud Authority and Regional Dynamics

Faisal ibn Turki Al Saud maintains firm control over central Arabia, continuing his strategic diplomacy with both Ottoman and British powers. Faisal’s rule sees the strengthening of Wahhabi principles, consolidating loyalty across Najd. Nonetheless, internal and external challenges persist, notably after Faisal's death in 1865, when power struggles among his sons Abd Allah, Abd ar Rahman, and Saud, along with Saud’s own sons, intermittently destabilize Riyadh. Faisal’s earlier establishment of alliances, such as the strategic marriage between his son Talal and Nura, daughter of the powerful Abd Allah ibn Rashid, helps manage these conflicts, preserving some stability and reinforcing the Al Saud dynasty's authority.

Qajar Iran under Foreign Pressure

Under Naser ad-Din Shah, Persia (Iran) continues facing significant pressure from British and Russian geopolitical ambitions, severely limiting Persian sovereignty. Russia solidifies its control over Iranian northern territories, compelling Iran to renounce claims on Central Asian regions through treaties like the Treaty of Paris in 1857. Britain actively safeguards its interests in Afghanistan and the Persian Gulf. Internally, Naser ad-Din Shah attempts modest modernization efforts, encouraged by reform-minded officials like Malkam Khan and prime minister Mirza Hosain Khan Moshir od Dowleh. These reforms, however, largely fail due to entrenched opposition from the bureaucracy, religious leadership, and ongoing external interference, resulting in persistent internal vulnerabilities.

Prosperity and British Influence in Oman

Said bin Sultan al-Busaidi sustains Oman's maritime prosperity and strategic significance, particularly through commerce in Zanzibar and other East African territories. Following Said’s death in 1856, his territories are divided between his sons, with Thuwaini bin Said ruling Muscat and Oman, and Majid bin Said becoming Sultan of Zanzibar. Despite this division, British influence ensures continuity in commerce and stability within Oman itself. British-imposed maritime truces also remain effective, reducing piracy and fostering safer trade conditions along the Trucial Coast.

Stability and Growth in the Persian Gulf

The Al Thani family consolidates its authority in Qatar, bolstered by Wahhabi ideological alignment, strengthening independence from Bahraini influence. Simultaneously, the Al Nahyan in Abu Dhabi solidify control, benefiting from alliances with both Britain and Oman. The Persian Gulf emirates continue to prosper under British maritime protections, with distinct political and economic identities developing due to the region's improved stability.

Ottoman Reforms and Societal Changes in Iraq

Ottoman rule in Iraq experiences significant modernization under governor Midhat Pasha starting in 1869. His Tanzimat reforms reorganize administration, secularize education, and introduce new legal codes, helping create a more centralized and efficient governance structure. The TAPU land laws inadvertently transform tribal sheikhs into wealthy landowners, altering traditional tribal dynamics and fostering the growth of an urban-based Iraqi intelligentsia. The introduction of steamboats, telegraph lines, and the opening of the Suez Canal in 1869 further integrates Iraq economically into global markets.

Russian Consolidation and Rising Nationalism in the Caucasus

Russia continues to consolidate its authority throughout the Caucasus, profoundly influencing Armenian and Georgian societies. Armenians benefit from educational and economic reforms, fostering heightened national awareness and cultural identity. Conversely, Georgian society faces intensified Russification, spurring resistance and nationalist movements among intellectuals and emerging urban classes. These divergent experiences underscore the complexities and tensions inherent in Russian rule.

Legacy of the Era

The years 1864 to 1875 witness transformative developments across the Middle East. Lebanon experiences stability under international oversight and intellectual renaissance; the Al Saud navigate complex internal dynamics; Persia struggles under persistent foreign pressure despite attempts at modernization; Oman maintains maritime prosperity through strategic divisions; Gulf emirates grow under British protection; Iraq undergoes significant Ottoman-led modernization; and Russian influence continues to shape nationalism in the Caucasus. These events collectively define the region's enduring cultural, economic, and political trajectories.

Persian officials such as Malkam Khan had begun in 1858 to suggest in essays that the weakness of the government and its inability to prevent foreign interference lies in failure to learn the arts of government, industry, science, and administration from the advanced states of Europe.

In 1871, with the encouragement of his new prime minister, Mirza Hosain Khan Moshir od Dowleh, the shah establishes a European-style cabinet with administrative responsibilities and a consultative council of senior princes and officials.

In 1872 he grants a concession for railroad construction and other economic projects to a Briton, Baron von Reuter, and visits Russia and Britain.

Opposition from bureaucratic factions hostile to the prime minister and from clerical leaders who fear foreign influence, however, force the shah to dismiss his prime minister and to cancel the concession.

Nevertheless, internal demand for reform is slowly growing.

Moreover, Britain, to which the shah turns for protection against Russian encroachment, continues to urge him to undertake reforms and open the country to foreign trade and enterprise as a means of strengthening the country.

The Middle East: 1876–1887 CE

Ottoman Decline and International Competition

Between 1876 and 1887, the Ottoman Empire faces intensified internal strife and international pressure. The death of reformer Sultan Abdülaziz in 1876 is followed by short-lived reigns, ultimately bringing Abdul Hamid II to power. Abdul Hamid initially promises constitutional reform and establishes a parliament in 1876; however, he suspends it in 1878, inaugurating an era of increased centralization and autocratic governance. Internationally, the empire endures significant territorial losses following the Russo-Turkish War (1877–1878), finalized by the Treaty of Berlin (1878), diminishing its European territories and influence. The treaty cedes the territories of Ardahan, Batum, and Kars to Russia, while the sultan guarantees increased security for Christian subjects.

Reforms, Unrest, and Intellectual Growth in Lebanon

Lebanon continues to benefit from relative stability under the Mutasarrifate system. Nonetheless, religious and political tensions beneath the surface remain sensitive to external influences, particularly French and British interference. Educational and cultural institutions founded previously flourish significantly, highlighted by the founding of the American University of Beirut (1866) and St. Joseph’s University (1875), which become central to Lebanon's intellectual renaissance. An intellectual guild stimulates a revival of Arabic literature, fostering numerous publications and an active press. The harsh rule of Abdul Hamid II prompts increased clandestine political activity among both Christian and Muslim Arab nationalists in Beirut and Damascus. This period sees the crystallization of differing political visions: some Maronites advocate secession fearing pan-Islamic policies; Greek Orthodox Christians support an independent Syria with Lebanon as an autonomous province; Sunni Muslims generally prefer maintaining ties with the Ottoman caliphate; while Druze and Shia groups tend toward independence or status quo.

Internal Struggles in the Al Saud Domain

In Arabia, continued internal strife among the Al Saud family weakens central authority after the death of Faisal ibn Turki. Conflicts among Faisal’s sons—Abd Allah, Abd ar Rahman, and Saud—lead to intermittent control and further instability in Riyadh. These internal divisions challenge consistent authority, though alliances such as those with the influential Al Rashid family in Jabal Shammar remain crucial.

Qajar Iran: Concessions and Foreign Domination

Persia (Iran) under Naser ad-Din Shah further cedes sovereignty due to escalating pressure from British and Russian interests. Russian territorial gains in Central Asia solidify, and Britain extends its economic dominance. Increasingly unpopular economic concessions to foreigners provoke internal discontent. Reformist Persian officials like Malkam Khan and Prime Minister Mirza Hosain Khan Moshir od Dowleh advocate administrative, educational, and infrastructural reforms, emphasizing learning from advanced European states. However, resistance from bureaucratic and clerical factions hampers significant progress, laying foundations for later nationalist movements.

British Dominance and Maritime Prosperity in Oman

Under British oversight, Oman enjoys stability and maritime prosperity. The division between Muscat and Oman and Zanzibar functions effectively under British protection, facilitating regional commerce. Maritime truces significantly reduce piracy, ensuring the Persian Gulf remains a crucial and safe commercial route connecting Asia, Africa, and Europe.

Consolidation and Growth in the Persian Gulf

Qatar and Abu Dhabi solidify their respective positions under the rule of the Al Thani and Al Nahyan families, supported by continued British maritime protections. Qatar’s alignment with Wahhabi ideology distinguishes it from neighboring emirates. Economic prosperity from pearling and trade reinforces local autonomy, laying groundwork for future nation-building.

Modernization and Socioeconomic Shifts in Iraq

In Iraq, Ottoman reforms initiated by Midhat Pasha continue despite his removal. Infrastructure projects, including expanded telegraph networks, improved roads, and river transportation, integrate Iraq deeper into the global economy. The TAPU land laws foster an empowered class of wealthy sheikhs and landlords, significantly shifting tribal dynamics. Urban centers benefit from an influential educated class, which grows as secular education replaces traditional Islamic schooling. Increased Western presence, marked by the establishment of consulates and commercial advancements like steamboats and the Suez Canal, further integrates Iraq economically with Europe.

Rising National Consciousness in the Caucasus

Under Russian control, Armenia and Georgia experience intensified nationalist movements. Armenians develop robust national identity through educational and cultural revitalization, despite harsher Ottoman rule in Anatolian territories. Armenian appeals at the Congress of Berlin (1878) internationalize the "Armenian question," attracting attention from Russia and Britain. Georgian society faces intensified Russification, triggering nationalist resistance. The declining Georgian nobility leads to increased economic power for the Armenian merchant class, reshaping societal dynamics.

Legacy of the Era

From 1876 to 1887, the Middle East encounters profound transformations marked by Ottoman decline, Persian vulnerability, and increased British and Russian influence. Lebanon thrives culturally despite political tensions; the Al Saud face ongoing internal challenges; Oman and Persian Gulf emirates prosper under British oversight; Iraq modernizes economically and socially; and the Caucasus continues its path toward strengthened national identities. These shifts significantly influence the region’s subsequent political, cultural, and economic developments.

The Middle East: 1888–1899 CE

Ottoman Stagnation and Armenian Unrest

From 1888 to 1899, the Ottoman Empire experiences deepening stagnation under Sultan Abdul Hamid II, whose autocratic rule continues to suppress constitutional reform and centralize power. Armenian unrest significantly intensifies as nationalist movements demand greater autonomy and protection from Ottoman abuses. This unrest culminates in severe atrocities against Armenians, notably the Hamidian Massacres (1894–1896), during which approximately three hundred thousand Armenians are killed on direct orders from the Ottoman government. These atrocities provoke international condemnation, notably from Russia and Britain, highlighting the empire’s vulnerabilities and further eroding its international standing. Armenian revolutionary groups, particularly the Armenian Revolutionary Federation (Dashnak), grow stronger, advocating autonomy within both the Russian and Ottoman empires. Ethnic tensions are exacerbated by the rapid growth of the Kurdish population in Anatolia and the immigration of Muslims from the Balkans and Caucasus, making Armenians increasingly endangered.

Lebanese Cultural Renaissance and Political Ambivalence

Lebanon continues its intellectual and cultural renaissance, marked by the influential American University of Beirut (founded 1866) and St. Joseph’s University (1875). Lebanese intellectual and literary circles flourish, significantly impacting broader Arab intellectual movements. Despite these cultural advances, Lebanon’s political landscape remains fragmented. Sectarian tensions resurface, exacerbated by the harsh rule of Abdul Hamid II, prompting Arab nationalists in Beirut and Damascus to form clandestine political groups. Maronite Christians debate secession, Greek Orthodox Christians advocate integration within an independent Syria, Sunni Muslims uphold Ottoman unity, and Druze and Shia communities cautiously favor neutrality or independence. This period of political ambivalence sees no clear consensus emerge, setting the stage for future instability.

Al Saud Struggles and the Rise of Al Rashid

Internal dissension continues to weaken the Al Saud control over central Arabia. The rival Al Rashid family from Jabal Shammar capitalizes on this instability, displacing the Al Saud from Riyadh in 1891. Abd ar Rahman ibn Faisal, the last effective leader of the second Saudi state, flees with his family, including his son Abdul Aziz ibn Saud, to Kuwait. This marks a significant setback for the Al Saud, creating conditions that eventually enable their later resurgence and the formation of modern Saudi Arabia.

Persian Concessions and Nationalist Frustration

Under Naser ad-Din Shah, Persia experiences increasing frustration due to extensive foreign concessions. In 1888, the shah opens the Karun River in Khuzestan Province to foreign shipping and allows Baron von Reuter to establish Iran’s first bank, the Imperial Bank of Persia. In 1890, the shah grants a tobacco monopoly to British businessman G.F. Talbot, sparking the widespread Tobacco Protest (1891–1892). Clerics, merchants, and ordinary citizens unite against the concession, with a religious fatwa by cleric Mirza Hasan Shirazi leading to a successful boycott. The shah is forced to rescind the concession in 1892, significantly bolstering Iranian nationalism and the political influence of the clergy, though at considerable cost to an already depleted treasury.

British Influence and Maritime Stability in Oman

Under Faisal ibn Turki Al Sa'id, who succeeds peacefully as ruler, Oman continues to prosper under British protection, enjoying maritime stability and strengthened trade connections across the Indian Ocean. The separation between Muscat, Oman, and Zanzibar remains effective, with British naval power reinforcing regional security. Despite periodic tribal uprisings led by the Ibadi imamate, notably in 1895, the British effectively sustain the Al Bu Sa'id dynasty’s authority, preventing internal dissension from significantly disrupting commerce and governance.

Economic Prosperity in the Persian Gulf

Qatar and Abu Dhabi benefit economically from regional pearling and trade, sustained under stable rule by the Al Thani and Al Nahyan families. British maritime protection ensures continued prosperity and internal stability, allowing these emirates to consolidate their authority. Qatar remains culturally distinct due to its alignment with Wahhabism, setting it apart from neighboring emirates, while both states lay strong economic and political foundations for their eventual modern nationhood.

Iraq’s Integration into the Global Economy

Iraq continues its socioeconomic advancement, driven by ongoing infrastructure developments, including telegraph expansion, improved transportation networks, and trade facilitated by the Suez Canal. The implementation of the TAPU land laws strengthens tribal landlords, altering Iraq's socioeconomic landscape significantly. Secular education expands, fostering a burgeoning class of Western-educated Iraqis. Under the governorship of reform-minded leaders like Midhat Pasha, Iraq experiences enhanced urbanization and centralized administration, firmly integrating into global commerce.

Nationalist Awakening in the Caucasus

Nationalist sentiments among Armenians, Georgians, and Azerbaijanis intensify under Russian rule. Armenians, galvanized by the Hamidian Massacres, increasingly internationalize their cause, gaining global support. Armenian revolutionary parties, such as the Armenian Revolutionary Federation (Dashnak), send organizers to Turkey and advocate autonomy. In Azerbaijan, ethnic Russians dominate Baku's rapidly growing oil industry, dramatically altering its demographic and economic character. Armenians also gain prominence in commerce and local administration. Baku becomes the largest city in the Caucasus by 1897, with significant Russian and Armenian populations. Georgian resistance to Russification intensifies as local nobility declines, and Armenian merchant influence grows, prompting Russia to assert direct control over Armenian religious and political institutions by the end of the century.

Legacy of the Era

From 1888 to 1899, transformative developments significantly reshape the Middle East. The Ottoman Empire's internal weaknesses and atrocities against Armenians draw international condemnation; Lebanese cultural and intellectual advances contrast sharply with political instability; the Al Saud suffer major setbacks; Persian nationalism emerges strongly in response to foreign concessions; Persian Gulf emirates enjoy sustained economic prosperity; Iraq integrates deeply into the global economy; and nationalist fervor escalates across the Caucasus. Collectively, these developments profoundly influence the region's subsequent political, cultural, and economic trajectories.

The Persian shah, heeding British advice, opens the Karun River in Khuzestan Province to foreign shipping in 1888 and gives Baron von Reuter permission to open Iran's first bank, the Imperial Bank of Persia.

In 1890 the shah gives another British company a monopoly over the country's tobacco trade.

The tobacco concession is obtained through bribes to leading officials and arouses considerable opposition among the clerical classes, the merchants, and the people.

When a leading cleric, Mirza Hasan Shirazi, issues a fatwa (religious ruling) forbidding the use of tobacco, the ban is universally observed, and the shah is once again forced to cancel the concession, at considerable cost to an already depleted treasury.

Persia's Qajar dynasty had found itself in a precarious situation due to an increasing foreign presence within Iran beginning in the nineteenth century.

Reeling from devastating losses against the Russian Empire in 1813 and 1828 as well as the British Empire in 1857, not only had the Qajar government been forced to grant countless concessions to these foreign powers, but Iranian bazaaris (merchants) have been left in a highly vulnerable position as they cannot compete with the numerous economic advantages gained by merchants from Europe.

According to the accounts of foreigners living in Iran at the time, the Qajar dynasty is highly unpopular among the populace and is perceived as having little concern for the welfare of its residents.

Later accounts by British eyewitnesses will suggest that the reason why the dynasty had not been overthrown sooner in the face of widespread discontent was due to British and Russian intervention that essentially propped up the shah.

In 1872, Nasir al-Din Shah had negotiated a concession with Baron Julius de Reuter, a British citizen, granting him control over Persian roads, telegraphs, mills, factories, extraction of resources, and other public works in exchange for a stipulated sum for five years and sixty percent of all the net revenue for twenty years.

The Reuter concession had been met with not only domestic outrage in the form of local protests, but also opposition from the Russian government.

Under immense pressure, Nasir al-Din Shah consequently canceled the agreement despite his deteriorating financial situation.

While the concession had lasted for approximately a year, the debacle has set the foundation for the revolts against the tobacco concession in 1891 as it had demonstrated that any attempt by a foreign power to infringe upon Iranian sovereignty will infuriate the local population as well as rival European powers.